PSE Market Outlook (23 May 2024) by 2TradeAsia
Attention would be on the PSEiās staying power above the 6,600 level, or retrace near 6,500.
Attention would be on the PSEiās staying power above the 6,600 level, or retrace near 6,500.
Expect range-bound movements for now, as participants check for possible continuity of selling pressure especially on intra-day rallies.
Local equities may continue its ascent, as fund managers position in select stocks backed by improving momentum indicators.
Movements might be range-bound, as investors revisit corporate stories, specifically expansion plans & other M&A angles.
Sentiment might glide to US equitiesā ascent, as slower inflation in April support hopes for the Fedās rate cut.
Sessions might glide to Wall Streetās incline, given indications from Fed chief Powell on interest rates.
Sessions might move sideways, possibly with an upward bias, as investors sift through select shares with attractive valuation.
The weekās attention would be on the local central bankās policy meeting, specifically on officialsā outlook on interest rates given the latest April inflation & 1Q24 GDP data.
Slower year-on-year (YoY) GDP growth comparison is expected, with high base effect for 1Q23.
After Aprilās latest CPI, participants will be heeding for the release of 1Q24 GDP data (coming from 1Q23 GDP of +6.4%, 4Q23 GDP of +5.6%).
Aprilās inflation print (3.8% vs. Marchās 3.7%), would bring the four-month average to 3.425%, compared to prior yearās 7.875%.
Expect choppy sessions, ahead of Aprilās inflation announcement as well as latest headlines in the Middle East ceasefire talks.
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās incline Friday (DJIA +1.18%, Nasdaq Comp. +2%), as Fed rate cut prospect resurfaces.
Higher but volatile sessions are seen with end-Aprilās portfolio repositioning.
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, as participants assess select batches of 1Q results from select listed shares.
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