PSE Market Outlook (11 Jul 2024) by 2TradeAsia
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, as expectations build for consideration of less-restrictive monetary policies by the Fed for the remainder this year.
PSE Market Outlook reports summarize our partner brokersā analysis of the expected short-term movement of the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi). This report primarily relies on Technical Analysis and may be useful to short-term or day traders.
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, as expectations build for consideration of less-restrictive monetary policies by the Fed for the remainder this year.
Participants will monitor local gaugesā staying power above 6,500, as some players seize on this strength to cash-out.
The PSEi rose by +1.26% w/w to close at 6,492.75pts.
The market might take its cue from Wall Streetās incline, with the latest jobs data supporting expectations for monetary easing from the Fed.
The index closed on a high note on resistance levels yesterday at 6507.49 (+0.89%), with all indicators showing bullishness and stocks rallying.
Market participants would heed to latest inflation for June (vs. Mayās 3.9%), with BSPās outlook pegged at 3.7% to 4.5%.
Attention is set whether local gauges would scale back to 6,500, while waiting for Juneās inflation data this Friday.
The market might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, with very few macro leads available locally.
A key vulnerability is the proximity to a death cross, with the 50-day moving average nearing the 200-day moving average, which could signal a bearish trend if crossed.
Reinforced support from the BSP for the likelihood of Augustās rate cut may support sentiment for local equities.
The spotlight is on local monetary authoritiesā policy meeting, with consensus skewed for another status quo.
The index closed at 6299.05, within a range of 6272.46-6307.51.
Local equities may continue to advance for the third straight session, as some investors position in select large-caps.
Participants are likely to monitor continuity of yesterdayās recovery, especially for select sectors that led the rise (I.e., property & services).
The PSEi closed sharply at 6158.48, a volatile session within 6158.48-6394.33.
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